Euro 2012: Final Round of Group Stage

Posted: June 16, 2012 by Pranoy Biswas in Football
Tags: ,

With the final round of the group stage fixtures commencing tonight, we unemployed folks at TDOAC give you a round-up of what to expect.

Just one game remaining in the group stage for all the teams in Euro 2012, and there’s a high probability of teams ending up with the same number of points, here is tie-breaking criteria used by UEFA.

Basically it means that head-to-head record is preferred to goal-difference which opens up a pandora’s box of complicated permutations, generating employment to useless mathematicians like me.

Group A: Group of teams with complicated player names

As it stands: Russia lead Group A with 4 points, a point ahead of Czech Republic, while Poland hang on in third with 2 points and Greece languish at the bottom with 1.

Team Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts
Russia 2 1 1 0 5 2 +3 4
Czech Republic 2 1 0 1 3 5 −2 3
Poland 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
Greece 2 0 1 1 2 3 −1 1

Final round fixtures:

  • Russia vs Greece
  • Czech Rep vs Poland

Russia: Russia just need a point against the hapless Greeks to qualify for the quarter finals, with a win assuring them of the top spot. A loss to the Greeks could see them finishing third in the group and thus out of the tournament.

Czech Republic: The Czechs hold the edge in their virtual playoff with Poland being a pont ahead of them, and would need to hold them to a draw to qualify.

Poland: Poland would have to go all guns blazing against the Czechs to have any hope of reaching the quarter-finals. This combined with the shaky Czech defence and a promising Polish attack sets up a spicy encounter.

Greece: They face the mighty task of beating the Russians in their final group game. With an aging defence and a blunt attack it looks highly unlikely that the 2004 champions will qualify for the next round.

TDOAC prediction: Russia to finish on top, with Poland pipping Czech republic to finish second

Group B: Group of Death (of a clown?)

Team Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts
Germany 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
Portugal 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
Denmark 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
Netherlands 2 0 0 2 1 3 −2 0

As it stands: The Group of Death sees Germany on top and well ahead with 6 points, Portugal and Denmark with 3, and World Cup runners-up Netherlands surprisingly at the bottom with no points.

Final Round fixtures:

  • Germany vs Denmark
  • Portugal vs Netherlands

Germany: Germany are nearly there needing just a point against Denmark to assure them of the top spot.

Portugal: Portugal would look to sit back in their important clash against the Dutch on the 17th of June with a point enough to see them qualify, if Denmark do not win their match against Germany.

Denmark: If Nicklas Bendtner summons all his Paddy Power <link> and is able to inspire his team to cause one of the upsets of the tournament, then it could open up a 3 way head to head battle between them and Portugal, i.e if Portugal defeat the Netherlands.

Netherlands: The loss to arch-rivals Germany has left Bert Marwadi..oops Marwijk’s team in a mighty conundrum at the bottom of the group. They need to beat Portugal by a difference of 2 or more goals and hope that Germany defeat the Danes.

TDOAC prediction: Germany being Germany will go through, and a surprise in Holland going through with Cristiano Ronaldo shedding loads of tears.

Group C: Group of trolling Italy

Team Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts
Spain 2 1 1 0 5 1 +4 4
Croatia 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
Italy 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
Republic of Ireland 2 0 0 2 1 7 −6 0

Final Round fixtures:

  • Spain vs Croatia
  • Italy vs Ireland

Spain: The reigning champions will top their group if they manage to defeat Croatia in their final group game.

Croatia: Croatia would hope to get something against the mighty Spanish or hope that Italy fail to win against the Irish.

Italy: The head-to-head rules open up a new worry for the Italians in that a 2-2 (or a higher-scoring) draw between Spain and Croatia will result both of them qualifying to the quarter-finals and dump Italy out of the tournament regardless of whatever result they achieve against the Irish. This echoes memories of Euro 2004 where they finished third in their group inspite of scoring 5 points.

Ireland: Ireland are out, and Giovanni Trappatoni would look to put on a good showing infront of his home nation (Incidentally Trappatoni was the manager during their Euro 04 debacle)

TDOAC prediction: Spain won’t be a cunt and would swiftly defeat Croatia, Italy to finish second.

Group D: Group of long-balls and crosses and France.

Team Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts
France 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
England 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
Ukraine 2 1 0 1 2 3 −1 3
Sweden 2 0 0 2 3 5 −2 0

Final Round fixtures:

  • England vs Ukraine
  • France vs Sweden

France: France need a point to be safe of their place in the quarter finals. With the swift defeat of Ukraine stretching their unbeaten run to 23 matches, France are emerging as real contenders to lift the Henri Delaunay Trophy.

England: Roy Hodgson’s team face Ukraine in a virtual ‘pre-quarterfinal’. A draw would assure them of qualification although they would need to improve the faltering defence which was easily probed by the Swedes

Ukraine: Buoyed by the support of the home crowd, Ukraine need to win against England. A draw against England won’t be good enough, even if France lose against Sweden, because of their 2-0 loss to France which would see them finish lower than the French because of the head-to-head record.

Sweden: Sweden have been very disappointing and are out of the tournament. Suck on that Ibrahimovic.

TDOAC Prediction: France to finish on top, along with England who wouldn’t fuck up, reserving that for the quarter-finals as usual.

Who do you feel will go through to the quarter-finals? Please post on the comments section below.

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Comments
  1. Kartik B says:

    Germany and France in the finals if they don’t meet up earlier. In parallel world, Russia are out as you said. Would love to see the Croats topping their group.

    • Germany and France will meet each other only in the finals, would be a highly entertaining final if it happens. But France will have to meet Spain probably in the semis

  2. We’re going to alter our predictions as soon as the results are out. Muhuhahahahahahah!

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